Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035 0.000040
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000057
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000017 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000052 0.000076
2025-03-09 0.000012 0.000015 0.000020 0.000028 0.000040 0.000059 0.000096
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000028 0.000042 0.000066 0.000118
2025-03-23 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000044 0.000075 0.000148
2025-03-30 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000028 0.000046 0.000084 0.000184
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000028 0.000048 0.000092 0.000224
2025-04-13 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000049 0.000100 0.000269
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000027 0.000051 0.000110 0.000329
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027 0.000053 0.000121 0.000408
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000010 0.000015 0.000027 0.000054 0.000131 0.000497
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027 0.000057 0.000147 0.000648
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000061 0.000169 0.000903
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000029 0.000065 0.000194 0.001281
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000067 0.000214 0.001709
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000068 0.000232 0.002269
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000071 0.000259 0.003292
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000074 0.000291 0.005003
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000028 0.000076 0.000318 0.007401
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000077 0.000343 0.011049
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000079 0.000378 0.018739
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000081 0.000421 0.036550